oohaah
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Post by oohaah on May 3, 2021 15:57:08 GMT
Well nothing much changes for me, although I now think Torquay could win at Chesterfield on Monday. Stockport W, W, W, W, W, 83 Sutton Utd D, W, W, D, L, W, 83 Torquay Utd W, D, L, W, W, 83 Hartlepool D, W, W, W, W, 83 We need some goals! Sadly I was right. Well done to Bromley though!
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oohaah
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Post by oohaah on May 3, 2021 16:06:17 GMT
Stockport W, W, W, W, 83. GD 36 Sutton Utd D, W, W, D, L, W, 83. GD 30 Torquay Utd D, L, W, W, 83. GD 29 Hartlepool W, W, W, W, 81. GD 22
GD is current of course, I'm not making any predictions on that!
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Post by Andy K on May 4, 2021 7:36:58 GMT
And here is the maximum points table after the weekend:
Torquay - 88 Sutton - 90 Stockport - 83 Hartlepool - 82 Halifax - 74 Wrexham - 73 Bromley - 73 Chesterfield - 71 Eastleigh - 71 Notts C - 75 Dagenham - 68 Maidenhead - 70 Boreham Wood 64
So as it stand we can finish no lower than 8th this season. A win tonight will not only make qualification for a play off certain, but will allow us to finish no lower than 4th, although in all practical terms, the 4 teams who will finish 1-4 are already decided. It's now a case of who finishes where.
The FWP predicted final table sees us on 87 points, and Torquay on 85. The predicted scores don't actually add up to the total (to which jr pointed out earlier in this thread) because they've included 0-0 draws for all sides yet to play Dover. FWP also have predicted we will lose this evening.
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oohaah
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Post by oohaah on May 5, 2021 6:29:07 GMT
Stockport W, W, W, W, 83. GD 36 Torquay Utd D, L, W, W, 83. GD 29 Sutton Utd W, W, D, L, W, 82. GD 29 Hartlepool W, W, W, W, 81. GD 22
Provided everybody else sticks to my plot line we just need to turn the draw at Maidenhead into a win, or the defeat against Hartlepool into a draw. Simples!
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Post by bailo on May 5, 2021 7:26:45 GMT
Stockport W, W, W, W, 83. GD 36 Torquay Utd D, L, W, W, 83. GD 29 Sutton Utd W, W, D, L, W, 82. GD 29 Hartlepool W, W, W, W, 81. GD 22 Provided everybody else sticks to my plot line we just need to turn the draw at Maidstone into a win, or the defeat against Hartlepool into a draw. Simples! Suspect we are rather relying on Stockport v Torquay being a draw (along with Torquay dropping points v Bromley). I can still see (hope for!) a situation where we get 84 points and it's down to goal difference or even goals scored with Torquay...
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Post by tenorclef on May 5, 2021 9:05:41 GMT
...we just need to turn the draw at Maidstone into a win... I don't see us winning at Maidstone. Or losing or drawing either for that matter.
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oohaah
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Post by oohaah on May 5, 2021 9:20:07 GMT
...we just need to turn the draw at Maidstone into a win... I don't see us winning at Maidstone. Or losing or drawing either for that matter. Bugger! Thanks tenorclef - now corrected!
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oohaah
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Post by oohaah on May 5, 2021 9:23:30 GMT
You should see what I do with Chelmsford, Chesterfield, and Cheltenham!
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Post by Del on May 5, 2021 12:11:02 GMT
I see Football Web pages final predicted table still has us as Champions.
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Post by Stewart on May 5, 2021 12:11:17 GMT
Here are the final fixtures and my predictions.
Sutton v Weymouth H Sutton v Woking H Maidenhead v Sutton D Sutton v Hartlepool D Barnet v Sutton A 11 PTS
Torquay v Bromley H Stockport v Torquay H Torquay v Barnet H Altringham v Torquay A 9PTS
Stockport v Torquay H Stockport v Dagenham H Stockport v Woking H Yeovil v Stockport D 10PTS
Hartlepool v Maidenhead H Sutton v Hartlepool D Aldershot v Hartlepool A Hartlepool v Weymouth H 10PTS
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Post by Andy K on May 9, 2021 20:27:56 GMT
Max points, plus highest and lowest possible positions
Torquay - 86 (1/4) Sutton - 87 (1/5) Stockport - 83 (1/10) Hartlepool - 79 (1/11) Halifax - 71 (3/16) Wrexham - 73 (3/16) Notts County - 75 (2/16) Chesterfield - 71 (3/16) Bromley - 71 (3/16) Eastleigh - 71 (3/16) Dagenham - 67 (5/16) Maidenhead - 70 (4/17) Boreham Wood - 64 (5/17) Solihull - 66 (5/19) Aldershot - 63 (5/19) Yeovil - 63 (5/19) Altrincham - 54 (12/21) Weymouth - 51 (14/22) Wealdstone - 45 (17/22) Woking - 44 (17/22) Kings Lynn - 44 (17/22) Barnet - 39 (18/22)
Obviously the ranges are impossible as teams have to play each other, but mathematically there are only 4 teams than can win, 5 than can finish second and another 11 sides that could get a play off place. Some of those places are also significant in terms of goal difference e.g. Notts could catch us, but would have to make up a +18 goal difference, whilst Wealdstone would need to turn around a +35 goal difference in 4 games. Mathematically possible, but totally unrealistic!
Those of you looking at the FWP predicted table, take into account they have given everyone a 0-0 v Dover in their calculation, so they are prediction Sutton winning the title on 85 points (rather than the 87 they've given), with Torquay on 83, Stockport on 81 and Hartlepool on 74.
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oohaah
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Post by oohaah on May 10, 2021 8:23:05 GMT
Stockport W, W, W, W, 83. GD 36 Torquay Utd L, W, W, 83. GD 29 Sutton Utd W, D, L, W, 82. GD 31 Hartlepool W, W, W, 78. GD 20
I've stuck with my original predictions and on the face of it it's not good. However I've never been known to get these right so it's actually wonderful. C'mon Daggers!!!
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oohaah
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Posts: 3,076
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Post by oohaah on May 11, 2021 21:09:40 GMT
Torquay Utd L, W, W, 83. GD 29 Sutton Utd D, L, W, 82. GD 32 Stockport W, W, W, 81. GD 36 Hartlepool W, W, W, 78. GD 20
Well wonderfully I continue to get my predictions wrong. Long may it continue!
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Post by Andy K on May 12, 2021 8:23:11 GMT
Max points and highest/lowest finishes after 11 May games
Sutton - 87 (1/4) Torquay - 86 (1/4) Stockport - 81 (1/5) Hartlepool - 79 (1/6) Notts - 75 (3/15) Chesterfield - 69 (5/15) Halifax - 69 (5/15) Bromley - 69 (5/15) Wrexham - 72 (4/15) Eastleigh - 71 (4/15) Dagenham - 65 (5/15) Boreham Wood - 64 (5/16) Maidenhead - 67 (5/16) Solihull - 66 (5/16) Aldershot - 63 (5/16) Yeovil - 60 (10/17) Altrincham - 54 (12/18) Weymouth - 48 (16/22) Wealdstone - 42 (17/22) Woking - 41 (18/22) Kings Lynn - 41 (18/22) Barnet - 39 (18/22)
Although Hartlepool could still mathematically win the title, it would take us and Torquay losing all our remaining games and the pools to win them all for that to happen, and hope that Stockport lose 1 game. Stockport would also have to win all 3 of their games and have both us and Torquay to lose at least 2 out of 3. Both of those sides are certain of a play off however, but more than likely it will be a fight between those two on who gets that 3rd place and the semi final berth.
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oohaah
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Post by oohaah on May 12, 2021 8:58:26 GMT
Realistically I think Dagenham have left their late run a little TOO late for a playoff spot (both Daggers & County Fans agree that D&R should have had two pens last night), but Eastleigh and above, all have a good chance.
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